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More and more companies are faced with the problem of how best to deal with currency exposure. This is no longer an issue faced only by large multinational corporations. Increasingly, small firms and even individuals are faced with the same problem: signed contracts or purchases in a different currency that take place in the future may result in unplanned cost if the currencies fluctuate unfavorably. Smaller companies and individuals are more than likely to ignore the issue and concentrate on the business at hand. But it can become costly.
It is important to use a hedging strategy to eliminate currency exposure and the attendant risk associated with currency movement. Luckily, a number of vehicles for hedging forex risk exist. They all either involve finding a way to buy foreign currency now at today's exchange rate (so you know what your costs are and have a sound basis on which to set the price of your product/service), or finding a way to gain the right to buy foreign currency at a later date at today's fixed exchange rate.
Hedging allows you to manage the risk and reduce potential risk. If you don't hedge, it's tantamount to speculating that the foreign currency rate will stay the same. If the rate ends up moving unfavorably, your speculation can be costly.
We'll go through several hedging vehicles using the following scenario:
Scenario: As a U.S.-based company, you sign a contract where you have to pay EUR 500,000 in six months. Suppose the current EUR/USD rate is 1.50.
Remember that this scenario could equally apply to a contract due in six months, a parts purchase delivered COD in six months, or a European property closing in six months. The principles are the same, and could apply equally to both the payer and the payee.
How much is this EUR 500,000 really going to cost you in USD? It will depend on the exchange rate fluctuations over the next 6 months. Using this scenario as an example, we will briefly review five hedging solutions available today:
At a major bank:
By buying the Euros up front, today's exchange rate is locked in, and future Euro fluctuations do not affect the cost of the contract.
There are several problems with this approach:
At a major bank, ask for a currency forward contract. A currency forward contract is a negotiated agreement between two parties to exchange specific amounts of currency at a set rate on a particular day. The forward rate is priced based on the current exchange rate, the interest differential for the contract time, a cost to cover potential negative changes to the interest risk differential, and a flexible built-in commission for the forward contract provider.
Currency forward contracts tend not to be very flexible, so there are several disadvantages:
Buy a futures contract on a formal exchange from an authorized dealer. Futures are similar to forward transactions, in that the cost is based on the current exchange rate, the interest differential for the contract time, an amount to cover potential negative changes to the interest risk differential, and a formal commission.
The major advantage of futures contracts over forward contracts is the existence of a liquid secondary market on the formal exchange so they can be sold at any time on the open market and do not have to be held until their maturity date. Futures contracts can be traded on organized exchanges such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) or London International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE). These exchanges dictate contract specifications, such as expiration times (third Wednesday of March, June, September and December), face amount, and margin requirements.
Disadvantages of futures contracts for the purpose of hedging include:
Buy a currency option at a bank. A currency option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell or buy a face amount of currency at a set price, on or before a given date. A currency option has a strike price, being the amount for which the currency can be bought or sold for, and an expiration date. US options can be exercised any time up to and including the expiration date, whereas European options can only be exercised on the expiration date. There are two types of options. Call options give the holder the right to buy a given amount of a currency at the strike price. Put options, on the other hand, give the holder the right to sell a given amount of currency at the strike price.
Options are one-sided contracts (options, but not obligations) that are priced based on a number of variables (exchange rates, interest differentials, duration of contract, historical exchange rate volatility, and a built-in commission for the provider). They are a method of speculating on future currency movements, and you pay a price for that right to speculate.
Like futures, the major advantage of options over forward contracts is the existence of a liquid secondary market. As a result, options can be sold at any time on the open market and do not have held until their expiration date.
The disadvantages are also similar:
Currency hedging through online retail spot trading is surprisingly straightforward, given the new generation of currency trading platforms such as OANDA's FXTrade. All transactions can be completed over the Internet using a standard Web browser, at any time, 365 days a year. No bank visits are required (until it comes time to arrange your actual monetary transaction).
In the above scenario, you would open a USD-based FXTrade account, deposit margin capital of, say, 10% or $75,000, and buy (long) 500,000 EUR/USD today. (That is, you would open a trade whereby you buy 500,000 EUR and sell 750,000 USD.) You would close this trade six months later when the payment is due and withdraw the margin capital plus/minus profit/loss and the interest rate differential.
If the Euro went up over 6 months: If the new EUR/USD rate is 1.60 after 6 months, your long position on FXTrade will be worth approximately:
1.6*500,000 - 1.5*500,000 = 800,000 USD - 750,000 USD = 50,000 USD
So the hedge would be worth 50,000 USD more when you close it (plus or minus the interest rate differential). The original EUR 500,000 would now cost 800,000 USD (500,000 x 1.6); however, you have made 50,000 USD on your hedge. Your hedging strategy has ensured your total cash cost stays at 750,000 USD (800,000 - 50,000).
If the Euro went down over 6 months: If the new EUR/USD rate is 1.40 after 6 months, your long position on FXTrade would cost approximately:
1.4*500,000 - 1.5*500,000 = 700,000 - 750,000 = - 50,000 USD
So the hedge would cost 50,000 USD when you close it (plus or minus the interest differential). The original EUR 500,000 would cost 700,000 USD (500,000 x 1.4, a 50,000 USD saving). Your hedging strategy has ensured your total cash cost stays at 750,000 USD (700,000 + 50,000).
What are the costs?
The cost of this type of hedging is the cost of the spread, which is typically 0.9 pips, or around $22.50 for the example scenario, and the interest rate differential depending on the two currencies you're trading. (You would still need to pay the unavoidable bank fees and bank exchange rates when you make the actual payment, but only at the time the payment is due.)
The disadvantage of this approach is that proper margin must be maintained at all times to avoid margin calls. To reduce this possibility, you may wish to deposit more margin in your FXTrade account. (OANDA pays competitive interest on all margin account balances.)
| A Bank Account |
B Forward Contract |
C Future Contract |
D Currency Option |
E Carry Spot |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Costs | |||||
| Special Charges | |||||
| Large Spreads | |||||
| Large interest differential | |||||
| Interest risk premium | |||||
| Commissions | |||||
| Volatility charge | |||||
Spreads: Bank accounts typically charge spreads 2% or 3% above interbank spreads. Forward contracts, future contracts and currency options charge close to interbank spreads, but do have the following built-in or explicit commissions and other special charges: |
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| A Bank Account |
B Forward Contract |
C Future Contract |
D Currency Option |
E Carry Spot |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early Exit? | |||||
| Extend beyond expiry date? | |||||
| Hedge exact amount? | |||||
| Change hedge amount? | |||||
|
Early exit: Forward contracts require break costs if you exit early. You risk market uncertainty by selling a future contract, or selling/exercising a currency option. | |||||
| A Bank Account |
B Forward Contract |
C Future Contract |
D Currency Option |
E Carry Spot |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upfront Cash Requirements | |||||
All hedging options require either upfront cash, or require necessary credit arrangements with the counterparty. A bank account requires the largest amount of upfront cash (the full hedge amount). Currency options must be purchased upfront with cash. Forwards will only be offered as part of your overall credit arrangement with the supplier, and any resulting forward contracts will reduce your available credit lines. Future contracts and currency spot hedging will require adequate margin amounts to cover the necessary credit requirements. | |||||
To summarize, some of the advantages unique to using OANDA FXTrade for hedging include:
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