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Governor Bollard from the RBNZ stated last night that they do not anticipate ‘hiking interest rates until mid-year’. With the SNB this morning, the market will be focusing on their policy on FX intervention in EUR/CHF. Economic indications and inflation forecasts ‘did not require’ the sort of intervention that surprised and upset the markets last year. There is no doubt it, Hillenbrand ‘does not want to see a strong CHF’. However, expect rhetoric to indicate that ‘a relative improvement’ in the economy coupled with the strong CHF will help to contain inflation, the 'normalization process', and allow the SNB to move back to interest rate policy at some point. Chinese consumer inflation jumped to a 16-month high in Feb., coupled with other data displaying ‘broad-based strength’, is providing fresh arguments for policy tightening sooner rather than later by the PBOC. This will pressurize bourses, specifically in Australasia. Also this morning, I see that Greece...




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Who is Dean?

"The best traders have a unique ability to decipher new information a fraction quicker than the average person, but information overflow can confuse their clear line of thinking. When I was trading, I always wanted a general overview—relevant information in snippets, with not too much detail—as a way to get up to speed each day. My goal with this blog is to provide this type of overview. I want it to be informative for the average trader, so I encourage suggestions and active discussions." (Dean Popplewell)

Dean Popplewell has a wealth of forex experience: professional currency trader for 10 years, fixed income trader for four years, and head of the global trading desks at various financial institutions in Canada. Dean is now OANDA's resident currency analyst, and has been writing OANDA's daily forex blog since January, 2007 as a way to share some of his forex experience with the OANDA community.

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